Publications

May 2010
Monte Carlo Assessments of Goodness-of-Fit for Ecological Simulation Models
Alcohol and Tobacco, Health and Development
One often develops stochastic ecologic simulation models based on local interactions between individuals or groups and bases systemic conclusions on trends summarized over multiple data sets generated from the model. In many cases, such models generate data sets ("realizations") each...Read more
May 2010
Alcohol/Leisure Complementarity: Empirical Estimates and Implications for Tax Policy
Antibiotic Resistance, Alcohol and Tobacco
This paper provides a first attempt to estimate the cross-price elasticity between alcoholic beverages and leisure, which is critical for assessing how much alcohol taxation might be warranted on fiscal grounds. We estimate an Almost Ideal Demand System defined over alcohol, leisure, and other...Read more
May 2010
A Structured Expert Judgment Study for a Model of Campylobacter Transmission During Broiler-Chicken Processing
Malaria, Environmental Health
A structured expert judgment study was organized to obtain input data for a microbial risk-assessment model describing the transmission of campylobacter during broiler-chicken processing in the Netherlands. More specially, the expert study was aimed at quantifying the uncertainty on input...Read more
May 2010
Mortality in Kuwait Due to PM from Oil Fires after the Gulf War: Combining Expert Elicitation Assessments
Disease Control Priorities, Environmental Health
May 2010
The Use of Mobile Phone Data for the Estimation of the Travel Patterns and Imported Plasmodium falciparum Rates among Zanzibar Residents?
Disease Control Priorities, Malaria
BACKGROUND: Malaria endemicity in Zanzibar has reached historically low levels, and the epidemiology of malaria transmission is in transition. To capitalize on these gains, Zanzibar has commissioned a feasibility assessment to help inform on whether to move to an elimination campaign. Declining...Read more

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