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The Center For Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy

Cross validation for the classical model of structured expert judgment

This study in Reliability Engineering & System Safety examines structured expert judgment, a technique for using expert judgment as scientific data. The study updates the 2008 TU Delft structured expert judgment database, which allows researchers to score the accuracy of expert judgment and validate schemes for combining judgments. The study also cross-validates the performance of the Classical Model of aggregation used by the 2008 TU Delft database relative to other expert aggregation models.